Caxias do Sul vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
22.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 1
CAX
56%
26%
18%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CAX
0 - 1
NOV
36%
28%
36%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
CAX
36%
30%
34%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
JEC
1 - 1
CAX
30%
30%
41%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
CAX
1 - 2
SLU
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 1
SLU
48%
28%
25%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
SLU
1 - 1
MAR
39%
29%
32%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
CAX
36%
30%
34%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 1
MAR
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
SAO
0 - 0
MAR
57%
25%
18%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |