Série C Brazil Round 6

Caxias do Sul vs Madureira RJ analysis

Caxias do Sul Madureira RJ
64 ELO 58
-10.1% Tilt -11.7%
1719º General ELO ranking 4905º
55º Country ELO ranking 159º
ELO win probability
56.3%
Caxias do Sul
24.9%
Draw
18.9%
Madureira RJ

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
Caxias do Sul
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
18.9%
Win probability
Madureira RJ
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Caxias do Sul
+16%
+18%
Madureira RJ

ELO progression

Caxias do Sul
Madureira RJ
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Caxias do Sul
Caxias do Sul
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jul. 2013
CRA
CRAC
0 - 1
Caxias do Sul
CAX
29%
28%
43%
64 53 11 0
14 Jul. 2013
CAX
Caxias do Sul
1 - 0
Mogi Mirim
MOG
33%
28%
39%
63 69 6 +1
06 Jul. 2013
CAX
Caxias do Sul
0 - 0
Guaraní
GUA
45%
26%
29%
63 62 1 0
08 Jun. 2013
0 - 1
Caxias do Sul
CAX
42%
29%
30%
63 59 4 0
05 Jun. 2013
CAX
Caxias do Sul
2 - 1
Macaé Esporte
MAC
51%
25%
24%
62 58 4 +1

Matches

Madureira RJ
Madureira RJ
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jul. 2013
MAD
Madureira RJ
1 - 3
Vila Nova
VIL
52%
25%
24%
59 56 3 0
13 Jul. 2013
MAD
Madureira RJ
2 - 1
Duque de Caxias
DUQ
53%
25%
23%
59 55 4 0
06 Jul. 2013
CRA
CRAC
1 - 2
Madureira RJ
MAD
43%
26%
31%
58 54 4 +1
13 Jun. 2013
MAC
Macaé Esporte
2 - 1
Madureira RJ
MAD
48%
26%
26%
59 58 1 -1
01 Jun. 2013
MAD
Madureira RJ
0 - 0
Guaraní
GUA
39%
26%
35%
59 61 2 0