Caxias do Sul vs Londrina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
67.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
18.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.8%
0-2
16%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
-3
11.5%
0-4
4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2001 |
GUA
4 - 1
CAX
89%
9%
3%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2001 |
CAX
0 - 1
GUA
12%
23%
65%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2000 |
CRZ
6 - 1
CAX
94%
5%
2%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2000 |
CAX
1 - 3
CRZ
15%
20%
65%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2000 |
SER
2 - 1
CAX
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1993 |
LON
1 - 1
FLA
50%
24%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1993 |
FLA
1 - 0
LON
61%
21%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1993 |
SCI
0 - 1
LON
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1993 |
LON
1 - 1
SCI
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1993 |
LON
2 - 0
OPE
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |