Caxias do Sul vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
60.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SCI
4 - 0
CAX
81%
15%
5%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
CAX
3 - 0
ECS
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
LAJ
1 - 0
CAX
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
ESP
0 - 0
CAX
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CAX
0 - 1
BRA
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ESP
1 - 3
GRE
11%
21%
68%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 1
GRE
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 1
SCI
47%
27%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 0
VER
78%
16%
6%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 1
GRE
14%
22%
64%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | -1 |