Caxias do Sul vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
61.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
CAN
0 - 0
CAX
52%
23%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2007 |
CAX
2 - 3
BRA
63%
20%
17%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
SLU
0 - 0
CAX
39%
25%
36%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
CAX
2 - 1
ESP
61%
20%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2007 |
ECS
1 - 2
CAX
59%
22%
18%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2007 |
CUC
3 - 1
GRE
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2007 |
GRE
4 - 1
SJO
85%
12%
4%
|
81 | 46 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
BRA
1 - 0
GRE
10%
20%
71%
|
81 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
GRE
1 - 0
TOL
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
GRE
1 - 0
GUA
85%
11%
4%
|
81 | 47 | 34 | 0 |