Caxias do Sul vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
TUP
2 - 1
CAX
31%
29%
40%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
CAX
2 - 0
SAO
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 2
CAX
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
CAX
0 - 0
JUV
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
SCI
3 - 0
CAX
80%
15%
5%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
DUQ
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
DUQ
0 - 1
JUV
42%
26%
31%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
DUQ
1 - 2
MOG
23%
27%
50%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
MAD
2 - 0
DUQ
55%
24%
22%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
DUQ
2 - 2
CAL
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |