Série B Brazil Round 14

Caxias do Sul vs Ceará analysis

Caxias do Sul Ceará
63 ELO 66
8% Tilt -13.2%
1743º General ELO ranking 124º
55º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
43.5%
Caxias do Sul
25.6%
Draw
30.9%
Ceará

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
Caxias do Sul
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.9%
Win probability
Ceará
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Caxias do Sul
+23%
-5%
Ceará

ELO progression

Caxias do Sul
Ceará
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Caxias do Sul
Caxias do Sul
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jul. 2005
CAX
Caxias do Sul
2 - 1
Bahía
BAH
42%
26%
32%
61 66 5 0
08 Jul. 2005
SAN
Santa Cruz
0 - 1
Caxias do Sul
CAX
66%
21%
13%
60 70 10 +1
28 Jun. 2005
CAX
Caxias do Sul
0 - 1
Portuguesa
POR
38%
26%
36%
61 68 7 -1
25 Jun. 2005
VIL
Vila Nova
3 - 0
Caxias do Sul
CAX
51%
25%
23%
62 62 0 -1
18 Jun. 2005
CAX
Caxias do Sul
0 - 1
União Barbarense
UNI
57%
22%
20%
63 61 2 -1

Matches

Ceará
Ceará
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Jul. 2005
CEA
Ceará
1 - 1
Ituano
ITU
49%
25%
26%
66 67 1 0
05 Jul. 2005
ANA
Anapolina
0 - 1
Ceará
CEA
47%
25%
29%
66 62 4 0
28 Jun. 2005
CEA
Ceará
3 - 4
Grêmio
GRE
39%
27%
34%
66 72 6 0
21 Jun. 2005
NAU
Náutico
1 - 1
Ceará
CEA
54%
23%
23%
66 65 1 0
17 Jun. 2005
CEA
Ceará
1 - 1
Bahía
BAH
48%
26%
27%
66 67 1 0