Cavaly vs Racing des Gonaives analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
39.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavaly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CAP
2 - 1
CAV
43%
31%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CAV
1 - 1
AIG
41%
31%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
OUA
2 - 1
CAV
54%
27%
19%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CAV
2 - 0
VIO
50%
29%
21%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
TEM
1 - 0
CAV
47%
29%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Racing des Gonaives
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
ASM
1 - 0
GON
37%
29%
34%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
DON
2 - 1
GON
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
GON
1 - 0
ROU
49%
29%
23%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
GON
0 - 0
INT
47%
30%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
GON
1 - 0
FIC
41%
31%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |