Cavaly vs Capoise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
14.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
23.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavaly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
RAC
2 - 1
CAV
53%
27%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
CAV
2 - 0
GON
43%
29%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ASP
0 - 3
CAV
39%
30%
31%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
TEM
0 - 1
CAV
53%
27%
20%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
CAV
0 - 0
VIO
43%
30%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Capoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
VIO
2 - 1
CAP
48%
30%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
CAP
7 - 1
ASP
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
GON
1 - 0
CAP
42%
32%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
CAP
1 - 1
DAC
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
RAC
1 - 2
CAP
55%
27%
18%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |