Cavalier vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
38.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavalier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2019 |
MPA
0 - 1
CAV
62%
24%
15%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2019 |
CAV
2 - 3
TRI
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2019 |
POR
2 - 1
CAV
53%
27%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2019 |
CAV
1 - 1
LIO
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2019 |
HAR
1 - 2
CAV
42%
29%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2019 |
WAT
1 - 2
MOL
73%
18%
9%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2019 |
TRI
0 - 1
WAT
29%
29%
42%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
DFC
1 - 1
WAT
32%
32%
37%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2019 |
ARN
1 - 1
WAT
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
WAT
1 - 2
MPA
62%
23%
14%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |