Tercera RFEF - Play Offs Ascenso Knock-outs Quarter-finals

Global 3-4

Caudal Deportivo vs Lealtad Villaviciosa analysis

Caudal Deportivo Lealtad Villaviciosa
51 ELO 46
-19.7% Tilt -12.4%
5269º General ELO ranking 6128º
186º Country ELO ranking 234º
ELO win probability
54.6%
Caudal Deportivo
24.5%
Draw
20.9%
Lealtad Villaviciosa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
Caudal Deportivo
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.9%
Win probability
Lealtad Villaviciosa
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO progression

Caudal Deportivo
Lealtad Villaviciosa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Caudal Deportivo
Caudal Deportivo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 May. 2025
LEA
Lealtad Villaviciosa
1 - 2
Caudal Deportivo
CAU
26%
25%
49%
51 45 6 0
11 May. 2025
CAU
Caudal Deportivo
1 - 0
UC Ceares
CEA
69%
20%
11%
51 36 15 0
04 May. 2025
COL
CD Colunga
0 - 2
Caudal Deportivo
CAU
16%
24%
61%
50 34 16 +1
27 Apr. 2025
CAU
Caudal Deportivo
1 - 0
CD Covadonga
COV
36%
26%
38%
49 49 0 +1
17 Apr. 2025
LEN
L´Entregu CF
1 - 3
Caudal Deportivo
CAU
20%
26%
54%
48 38 10 +1

Matches

Lealtad Villaviciosa
Lealtad Villaviciosa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 May. 2025
LEA
Lealtad Villaviciosa
1 - 2
Caudal Deportivo
CAU
26%
25%
49%
45 51 6 0
11 May. 2025
LEA
Lealtad Villaviciosa
6 - 0
Avilés Stadium
AVI
66%
20%
14%
45 32 13 0
04 May. 2025
MOS
CD Mosconia
0 - 1
Lealtad Villaviciosa
LEA
34%
28%
39%
44 40 4 +1
27 Apr. 2025
LEA
Lealtad Villaviciosa
1 - 1
CD Praviano
PRA
55%
25%
20%
44 37 7 0
17 Apr. 2025
ROC
TSK Roces
0 - 5
Lealtad Villaviciosa
LEA
11%
19%
70%
43 19 24 +1