Cattolica vs Cartigliano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
66.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cattolica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
CAT
1 - 3
CAM
12%
18%
70%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
MON
1 - 1
CAT
70%
18%
13%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
CAT
0 - 1
CLO
9%
16%
75%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 1
CAT
34%
23%
43%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
CAT
1 - 1
ACE
32%
24%
44%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cartigliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
SAN
36%
26%
39%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
MES
2 - 0
CAR
50%
24%
26%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 2
DEL
50%
25%
26%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
CJA
2 - 1
CAR
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
CAR
5 - 0
ADB
54%
22%
24%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |