Catania vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
10.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
BIS
1 - 0
CAT
19%
26%
56%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
SAS
2 - 1
CAT
79%
15%
6%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
MAT
0 - 2
CAT
30%
27%
43%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
CAT
1 - 0
REG
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
JUS
0 - 0
CAT
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
FRA
0 - 1
FCC
30%
28%
42%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
RPO
3 - 1
FRA
56%
23%
20%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
FRA
3 - 3
MON
31%
28%
42%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
TRA
3 - 1
FRA
73%
17%
9%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
FRA
2 - 0
SIR
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +2 |