Catania vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
19.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.3%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
15.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
0
29.2%
16.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1970 |
VAR
1 - 1
CAT
61%
26%
14%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1970 |
CAT
0 - 0
CES
55%
27%
18%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1970 |
CAT
2 - 0
REG
52%
30%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
USF
0 - 0
CAT
59%
25%
16%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
ASS
2 - 0
CAT
51%
28%
20%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1970 |
GEN
0 - 0
MOD
51%
29%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1970 |
TAR
1 - 0
GEN
45%
31%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1970 |
GEN
2 - 0
FCC
50%
29%
21%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
ARZ
1 - 0
GEN
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
GEN
1 - 1
PIA
50%
27%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |