Catania vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
FCC
0 - 0
CAT
16%
25%
60%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CAT
0 - 0
LEC
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ISC
2 - 0
CAT
10%
22%
68%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CAT
2 - 1
MAT
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
NUO
1 - 1
CAT
17%
26%
56%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 1
NUO
47%
26%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
JUS
48%
25%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 1
CAS
40%
28%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
LEC
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ASM
0 - 1
CAS
32%
28%
40%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |