Catania vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22%
32.6%
Draw
0-0
16.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32.6%
33%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
VER
0 - 0
CAT
62%
26%
12%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1980 |
CAT
1 - 0
TAR
45%
35%
21%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1980 |
VAR
1 - 1
CAT
63%
24%
13%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1980 |
CAT
2 - 1
ASS
40%
34%
26%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1980 |
SPA
2 - 0
CAT
76%
18%
6%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
BAR
0 - 0
CES
45%
30%
25%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1980 |
CES
2 - 0
ASS
63%
23%
14%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1980 |
TAR
1 - 2
CES
43%
32%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1980 |
CES
3 - 2
SPA
55%
28%
17%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1980 |
VAR
3 - 1
CES
43%
32%
25%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |