Catania Sub 19 vs Livorno Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
26.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2013 |
TRA
0 - 2
CAT
11%
19%
70%
|
28 | 7 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
CAT
1 - 2
ROM
24%
22%
54%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
CAT
1 - 4
REG
69%
19%
12%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
REG
0 - 1
CAT
21%
24%
55%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
CAT
2 - 0
AVE
86%
10%
4%
|
30 | 9 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
LIV
0 - 1
PAL
34%
24%
42%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 2
LIV
18%
20%
62%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
LIV
5 - 1
CRO
81%
13%
6%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
LIV
3 - 1
TRA
85%
10%
4%
|
26 | 8 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
ROM
3 - 3
LIV
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |