Castuera vs Montehermoso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
GIM
2 - 1
CAS
39%
24%
37%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
CAS
2 - 0
ACD
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
MAL
0 - 0
CAS
46%
25%
29%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
CAS
1 - 0
OLY
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
CAM
0 - 2
CAS
18%
22%
60%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Montehermoso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
MON
2 - 0
ORE
65%
20%
16%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
TRU
1 - 2
MON
44%
24%
32%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
MON
1 - 1
CNV
61%
21%
19%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
MON
18%
22%
60%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
MON
2 - 1
VAL
46%
24%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |