Castuera vs Gimnástico Don Benito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
55.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
OLY
4 - 3
CAS
37%
23%
39%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
CAS
5 - 0
HER
56%
22%
22%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
ZAL
1 - 1
CAS
40%
24%
37%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 1
CAS
79%
14%
7%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CAS
0 - 1
UCL
12%
18%
70%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnástico Don Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
GIM
1 - 2
CDT
54%
21%
25%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
GIM
1 - 2
GUA
68%
17%
15%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
GIM
5 - 2
SPR
85%
10%
5%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
UDF
0 - 3
GIM
7%
15%
79%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
GIM
4 - 2
CAS
69%
17%
14%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |