Castrovillari vs Licata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
47.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2022 |
ASD
2 - 1
USC
32%
26%
42%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
USC
0 - 1
REN
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
ACI
0 - 1
USC
71%
19%
10%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
USC
0 - 0
GIA
53%
23%
25%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 0
USC
38%
25%
37%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Licata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
LIC
0 - 0
ASD
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 1
LIC
32%
23%
45%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
ACI
3 - 3
LIC
64%
22%
15%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
GIA
1 - 1
LIC
26%
23%
51%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
LIC
1 - 0
SMC
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |