Castro vs SD Textil Escudo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
7.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
CAS
1 - 1
BAR
76%
16%
8%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
DEV
1 - 4
CAS
26%
27%
47%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
CAS
1 - 3
VEL
39%
27%
34%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
ESC
3 - 1
CAS
47%
26%
27%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
CAS
0 - 0
NOJ
36%
26%
38%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SD Textil Escudo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
DEV
1 - 3
TEX
58%
25%
18%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
TEX
1 - 3
ESC
19%
25%
55%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
SIE
3 - 0
TEX
73%
17%
10%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
TEX
1 - 1
TRA
34%
25%
41%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
CUL
0 - 1
TEX
70%
20%
10%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |