Castro vs CD Pontejos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
31.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
CAS
60%
22%
18%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 2
LAR
24%
24%
52%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ALB
1 - 1
CAS
54%
23%
23%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 4
GIM
14%
23%
63%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SIE
3 - 0
CAS
50%
24%
26%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
CD Pontejos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
ESC
0 - 1
PON
72%
17%
11%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
PON
2 - 0
MAR
23%
24%
53%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
LAR
3 - 1
PON
72%
18%
10%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
PON
1 - 1
ALB
33%
26%
41%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
GIM
4 - 0
PON
83%
12%
5%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | 0 |