Tercera RFEF III - Cantabria round 12

Castro vs CD Naval analysis

Castro CD Naval
23 ELO 24
-17.6% Tilt -5.9%
9724º General ELO ranking 10111º
384º Country ELO ranking 418º
ELO win probability
32.9%
Castro
24.6%
Draw
42.5%
CD Naval

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
Castro
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
42.5%
Win probability
CD Naval
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Castro
+34%
-15%
CD Naval

Points and table prediction

Castro
Their league position
CD Naval
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
18º
45
10º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
UM Escobedo
68
68
100%
CD Laredo
62
62
100%
Atlético Albericia
57
60
56%
SD Torina
59
59
56%
Tropezón
58
58
56%
CF Vimenor
57
57
80.5%
CD Bezana
54
54
100%
Castro
52
52
100%
CD Guarnizo
10º
45
48
100%
CD Naval
45
45
10º
100%
CD Colindres
11º
44
44
11º
100%
Siete Villas
12º
42
42
12º
0%
Revilla
13º
42
42
13º
0%
Sámano
14º
41
41
14º
100%
SD Solares
15º
33
33
15º
100%
Atlético Mineros
16º
32
32
16º
100%
UC Cartes
17º
30
30
17º
100%
Velarde CF
18º
20
20
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Castro
CD Naval
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Castro
CD Naval
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Castro
Castro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2023
LAR
CD Laredo
0 - 2
Castro
CAS
71%
18%
11%
20 37 17 0
11 Nov. 2023
ALB
Atlético Albericia
3 - 0
Castro
CAS
74%
16%
10%
20 33 13 0
05 Nov. 2023
CAS
Castro
2 - 1
Velarde CF
VEL
41%
25%
34%
20 20 0 0
29 Oct. 2023
SAM
Sámano
0 - 1
Castro
CAS
52%
22%
25%
19 21 2 +1
22 Oct. 2023
CAS
Castro
3 - 2
CD Guarnizo
CUL
26%
25%
49%
18 24 6 +1

Matches

CD Naval
CD Naval
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Nov. 2023
NAV
CD Naval
2 - 2
Atlético Albericia
ALB
20%
24%
56%
24 33 9 0
11 Nov. 2023
VEL
Velarde CF
1 - 1
CD Naval
NAV
31%
24%
45%
24 20 4 0
05 Nov. 2023
NAV
CD Naval
1 - 0
Sámano
SAM
45%
26%
29%
23 21 2 +1
29 Oct. 2023
CUL
CD Guarnizo
0 - 1
CD Naval
NAV
42%
25%
33%
22 23 1 +1
22 Oct. 2023
NAV
CD Naval
3 - 0
UC Cartes
CAR
34%
27%
40%
21 23 2 +1