Castro vs CD Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
59.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
7º
16º
12º
43
5º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
88.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
58% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
81% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
91.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
91.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
62% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ALB
0 - 0
CAS
66%
19%
15%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 2
CAS
48%
24%
28%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 2
CAY
12%
21%
67%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 2
CAS
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 2
REV
35%
25%
40%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
NAV
1 - 0
CAR
59%
23%
19%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CAY
2 - 2
NAV
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
NAV
1 - 0
MAR
29%
25%
47%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
REV
1 - 4
NAV
36%
23%
41%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NAV
1 - 2
SOL
49%
25%
26%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |