Castro vs CD Guarnizo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
64.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
LAR
3 - 1
CAS
83%
13%
4%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 4
GIM
8%
18%
74%
|
15 | 40 | 25 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
SOL
1 - 0
CAS
50%
25%
26%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
SIE
17%
22%
61%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 0
CAS
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CD Guarnizo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
CUL
1 - 2
ESC
16%
21%
64%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
RAC
3 - 2
CUL
73%
17%
10%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
CUL
1 - 2
BAR
51%
23%
26%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
TRO
0 - 1
CUL
78%
14%
8%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
CUL
5 - 0
SAN
47%
24%
29%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |