Castro B vs Velarde Camargo B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
9.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 2
CAS
28%
22%
50%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 4
CAL
55%
20%
25%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
FOC
0 - 4
CAS
25%
21%
54%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
AFR
79%
13%
8%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 3
CAS
31%
23%
47%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Velarde Camargo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
VEL
0 - 1
RGA
27%
21%
52%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
SJU
0 - 2
VEL
53%
21%
26%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
RIO
2 - 1
VEL
45%
21%
34%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
VEL
0 - 2
CAL
31%
22%
47%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
FOC
1 - 1
VEL
49%
20%
31%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |