Castro B vs Samano B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
72.1%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.8%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 3
JDM
22%
22%
57%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
REV
3 - 2
CAS
89%
8%
4%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 0
FOR
63%
18%
19%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
VEL
3 - 3
CAS
48%
22%
30%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
CAS
8 - 1
AGU
45%
22%
33%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Samano B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
LIE
5 - 1
SAM
38%
21%
41%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SAM
3 - 2
JDM
56%
21%
23%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FOC
3 - 4
SAM
20%
19%
61%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 1
REV
43%
22%
35%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 4
SAM
56%
20%
24%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |