Castro B vs Revilla B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
22.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ADC
1 - 2
CAS
28%
22%
50%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 2
NMB
60%
19%
21%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
SJU
1 - 1
CAS
21%
21%
58%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
RGA
2 - 1
CAS
59%
19%
23%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
VEL
77%
14%
9%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Revilla B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
REV
0 - 1
RGA
29%
22%
49%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
VEL
1 - 0
REV
27%
21%
52%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
REV
3 - 0
RIO
55%
20%
26%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CAL
6 - 1
REV
69%
17%
14%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
REV
2 - 3
FOC
73%
15%
12%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |