Castro B vs Los Rios B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
15.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MER
1 - 3
CAS
70%
17%
13%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 2
VEL
73%
15%
13%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
FOC
2 - 1
CAS
77%
13%
10%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
4 - 1
ESP
67%
16%
17%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
MNT
1 - 0
CAS
22%
20%
58%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Los Rios B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
RIO
0 - 0
LIE
8%
14%
78%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
JDM
4 - 0
RIO
84%
11%
5%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
RIO
0 - 2
GNZ
28%
21%
52%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SRO
1 - 4
RIO
43%
22%
36%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MER
3 - 1
RIO
81%
12%
7%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | -1 |