Castro Daire vs Valadares Gaia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
8.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro Daire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CAN
1 - 1
CAS
47%
23%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CAS
0 - 0
ESP
20%
25%
56%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
COI
0 - 0
CAS
41%
22%
37%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CAS
2 - 1
VAL
80%
13%
7%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
LUS
0 - 2
CAS
53%
21%
26%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Valadares Gaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
VAL
1 - 0
LUS
21%
21%
58%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
COI
1 - 1
VAL
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
VAL
0 - 0
VIL
29%
21%
49%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CAS
2 - 1
VAL
80%
13%
7%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
VAL
1 - 4
LEC
13%
18%
69%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -2 |