Castro Daire vs Mangualde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+105%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro Daire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SCP
0 - 0
CAS
29%
24%
47%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 2
LAM
79%
14%
8%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
TAR
1 - 2
CAS
33%
24%
43%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 3
SAT
68%
18%
14%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
RES
2 - 0
CAS
36%
24%
40%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mangualde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 2
CAR
30%
23%
48%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 1
MAN
79%
14%
7%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MAN
2 - 2
FAV
45%
23%
32%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VIS
0 - 0
MAN
47%
23%
31%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 0
SER
79%
14%
8%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |