Castro Daire vs Vila Cortez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.8%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
4.1%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro Daire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
VAL
1 - 0
CAS
28%
23%
49%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
SAN
33%
27%
41%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
CAN
33%
24%
42%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
LUS
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
LUS
2 - 0
CAS
74%
17%
10%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Cortez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
VCO
1 - 3
LUS
13%
19%
69%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
BMA
3 - 0
VCO
91%
7%
2%
|
14 | 47 | 33 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
VCO
0 - 3
SAO
8%
15%
77%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
VCO
0 - 6
ANA
7%
14%
79%
|
16 | 47 | 31 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
VCO
0 - 1
SAN
9%
16%
75%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | -1 |