Castillo CF vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
30%
Draw
0-0
13.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
46.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castillo CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
CDO
2 - 1
CAS
66%
21%
13%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
CAS
1 - 1
LAN
20%
28%
52%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
UDF
3 - 3
CAS
61%
22%
18%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
UDL
3 - 0
CAS
81%
14%
5%
|
37 | 70 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
CAS
1 - 0
VEC
20%
29%
51%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
CEL
1 - 0
LEG
32%
28%
40%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
SSR
0 - 1
CEL
42%
28%
30%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
CEL
1 - 1
NAV
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
CEL
2 - 1
ALC
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
RMC
1 - 4
CEL
71%
18%
10%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +2 |