Castilleja vs UD Algaida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
31.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castilleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
MON
2 - 2
CAS
19%
24%
57%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 0
CCF
37%
26%
37%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ALM
2 - 4
CAS
54%
21%
25%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
CDP
2 - 2
CAS
39%
25%
36%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 2
VIS
52%
24%
24%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
UD Algaida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CCF
0 - 0
ALG
47%
24%
29%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ALG
2 - 0
VIS
47%
25%
27%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
UTR
3 - 0
ALG
28%
23%
49%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ALG
1 - 0
UDT
42%
25%
33%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 2
ALG
34%
23%
43%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |