Castilleja vs Los Barrios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castilleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CON
3 - 0
CAS
30%
26%
45%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 2
SRO
44%
25%
31%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
CEU
44%
26%
31%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CRD
2 - 1
CAS
70%
19%
11%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 2
ASJ
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Los Barrios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 1
ECI
46%
25%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CDG
0 - 0
BAR
58%
24%
19%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
COR
48%
25%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
UDR
2 - 1
BAR
38%
26%
37%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 1
CAB
45%
25%
30%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |