Castiliscar vs Bardena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
52.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castiliscar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
BOR
5 - 3
CAS
75%
14%
11%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 10
NOV
23%
21%
57%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
REM
8 - 0
CAS
63%
18%
19%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 6
PIN
28%
20%
52%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
ALE
0 - 4
CAS
50%
21%
30%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Bardena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 2
REM
63%
18%
19%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
PIN
2 - 0
BAR
51%
21%
28%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
ALE
2 - 6
BAR
19%
19%
62%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
BAR
4 - 1
BIO
15%
17%
67%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
LUN
2 - 1
BAR
40%
22%
38%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |