Castellnou vs Navarcles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
37.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+334%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellnou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 1
CAS
30%
21%
49%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
4 - 1
PAL
57%
20%
23%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
PIP
7 - 0
CAS
80%
12%
8%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
CAS
4 - 1
VAL
58%
20%
22%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 2
CAS
38%
22%
41%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Navarcles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
NAV
1 - 2
JOA
38%
20%
42%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
MAN
2 - 0
NAV
74%
14%
12%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
NAV
2 - 2
FRU
69%
16%
15%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
PIR
1 - 6
NAV
34%
21%
46%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
NAV
7 - 3
BAL
24%
19%
58%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |