Castellet A vs Matadepera B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
30%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellet A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
NAV
4 - 0
CAS
61%
18%
21%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
SAN
70%
16%
14%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
PAL
3 - 1
CAS
32%
21%
47%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 3
PIP
39%
21%
39%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 0
CAS
13%
17%
70%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Matadepera B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 1
MSF
26%
20%
54%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
NAV
5 - 2
MAT
55%
19%
27%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
MAT
3 - 2
SAN
59%
19%
22%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 1
MAT
55%
19%
26%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 2
PIP
22%
20%
58%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |