Castellese vs Nuova Selvino 2000 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
15.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 1
BAR
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 2
CAS
59%
21%
21%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 2
FOR
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
PRA
2 - 1
CAS
60%
20%
20%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 1
ACC
64%
19%
17%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Nuova Selvino 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
NUO
1 - 0
CAL
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 1
NUO
59%
21%
21%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
NUO
1 - 3
ZOG
55%
22%
24%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CAL
3 - 0
NUO
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
NUO
1 - 2
CAL
40%
24%
36%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |