Castellar vs Berga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
60.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CFR
1 - 0
CUE
65%
20%
15%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CUE
4 - 2
SBD
50%
23%
28%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
FRA
5 - 0
CUE
70%
18%
12%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CUE
1 - 1
PAR
20%
21%
60%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CDM
0 - 1
CUE
67%
20%
13%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Berga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
BER
1 - 0
SAL
83%
11%
6%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
SAB
1 - 1
BER
34%
26%
41%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
BER
5 - 1
ROD
79%
13%
8%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
MAT
0 - 3
BER
23%
23%
53%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
BER
5 - 2
JUA
76%
15%
10%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |