Castellanzese vs Caronnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
14.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellanzese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
SAN
52%
20%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
USP
1 - 1
CAS
29%
23%
48%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 2
DES
67%
17%
17%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 1
CAS
39%
22%
39%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 2
OLG
85%
10%
5%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Caronnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
GOZ
1 - 0
CAR
63%
22%
15%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 2
ACS
78%
14%
8%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
FOS
1 - 3
CAR
38%
23%
39%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
CAS
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
PDH
1 - 1
CAR
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |