Castelfidardo Calcio vs SN Notaresco 2018 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
47.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 0
MAT
35%
23%
42%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 3
CAS
71%
16%
13%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 1
CYN
32%
23%
45%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 0
CAS
65%
21%
14%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
APR
1 - 1
CAS
46%
24%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SN Notaresco 2018
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
CAM
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
APR
0 - 1
SAN
29%
25%
46%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
SFF
0 - 1
SAN
28%
25%
47%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 0
OLY
83%
12%
5%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
RIE
2 - 3
SAN
44%
25%
30%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |