Castelfidardo Calcio vs Folgore Veregra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
AMI
1 - 2
CAS
37%
24%
39%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 0
ISE
44%
24%
33%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
FAN
2 - 1
CAS
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
GIU
52%
23%
25%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VIS
2 - 0
CAS
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore Veregra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
FVE
1 - 1
CAM
24%
24%
52%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FER
3 - 1
FVE
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
FVE
0 - 0
CHI
32%
24%
45%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
AVE
2 - 0
FVE
61%
19%
19%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FVE
1 - 1
SSS
11%
18%
71%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | +2 |