Castelfidardo Calcio vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
50.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+113%
-58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
OLY
3 - 1
CAS
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
CHI
33%
25%
42%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 3
CAS
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 3
SSS
9%
15%
76%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 2
CAS
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
FER
0 - 1
CAM
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
FER
2 - 0
AVE
58%
21%
21%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
OLY
0 - 1
FER
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
FER
1 - 4
SAN
47%
23%
31%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 1
FER
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |