Castel Rigone vs Chieti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
13.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castel Rigone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
SOR
0 - 1
CAS
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CAS
2 - 0
VIG
56%
24%
20%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
TER
3 - 4
CAS
63%
21%
16%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
CAS
4 - 1
APR
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
USF
2 - 1
CAS
72%
18%
11%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
USF
1 - 0
CHI
80%
14%
6%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
CAS
37%
27%
36%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 1
CHI
48%
25%
27%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 0
GAV
57%
23%
20%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
USP
1 - 0
CHI
44%
27%
29%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |