Castanhal vs Tapajós analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
16.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanhal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
REC
0 - 1
CAS
41%
24%
35%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
PAY
1 - 1
CAS
82%
13%
5%
|
40 | 63 | 23 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
IND
2 - 0
CAS
43%
24%
33%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 0
PAR
36%
24%
40%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
TAP
0 - 0
CAS
19%
19%
63%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Tapajós
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
TAP
0 - 2
BPA
12%
18%
70%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
TAP
1 - 1
FRA
39%
22%
39%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
TAP
0 - 0
REM
10%
17%
74%
|
28 | 56 | 28 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
AGU
3 - 1
TAP
65%
18%
16%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
TAP
0 - 0
CAS
19%
19%
63%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +1 |