Castanhal vs Moto Club MA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanhal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 1
AGU
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
AGU
0 - 0
CAS
28%
26%
47%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
4 - 0
PAY
18%
24%
58%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
VIT
11%
22%
68%
|
42 | 66 | 24 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 0
CAS
27%
25%
48%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Moto Club MA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
MOT
0 - 1
IAP
73%
16%
11%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SAM
3 - 1
MOT
76%
17%
7%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
MOT
3 - 1
JCA
78%
14%
8%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
PMA
1 - 1
MOT
28%
24%
49%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
MOT
1 - 1
TOM
24%
27%
49%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | +1 |