Paraense Inicial PLAY OFFS. Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Castanhal vs Independiente PA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanhal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
CEC
75%
15%
10%
|
38 | 13 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
REM
2 - 1
CAS
75%
17%
8%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
GAV
2 - 2
CAS
11%
16%
74%
|
39 | 9 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
BPA
38%
24%
38%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
TAP
2 - 2
CAS
25%
21%
54%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
IND
3 - 2
RIO
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
GAL
7 - 1
IND
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 0
IND
35%
24%
41%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
IND
1 - 0
FAS
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
IND
3 - 2
BPA
31%
26%
43%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |