Castanhal vs Cametá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
38.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanhal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
REC
1 - 0
CAS
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
REM
1 - 0
CAS
73%
17%
11%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
IAC
2 - 0
CAS
49%
23%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CAS
0 - 0
TUN
44%
24%
32%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CAS
1 - 1
PAY
18%
20%
63%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Cametá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
CAM
3 - 2
AGU
39%
24%
37%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CAM
2 - 1
PAY
21%
21%
59%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 0
REC
42%
24%
34%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
REM
1 - 0
CAM
72%
17%
11%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
IAC
2 - 3
CAM
47%
24%
30%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |