Castanet vs Balma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
11º
4º
28
6º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 37 |
6º
|
86.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
57.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
USJ
1 - 2
CAS
35%
23%
43%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 1
FBP
59%
20%
21%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BEA
2 - 1
CAS
52%
22%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 3
ONE
56%
21%
24%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
AGD
0 - 2
CAS
45%
25%
30%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 2
ROD
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
FCA
0 - 1
BAL
59%
20%
21%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 3
TOU
28%
25%
46%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 0
COL
27%
26%
46%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 0
FBP
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |